Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Cyclones, Typhoons & Hurricanes Worldwide in October

Where do Hurricanes form in October - https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/video/where-hurricanes-form-in-october

There have been 17 major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) that have made direct hits on the U.S. mainland in the month of October since 1851.

Florida is the state most likely to see a landfalling hurricane in October.
Since 1950, 15 hurricanes have made a U.S. landfall in October, 8 of which occurred in Florida.
In South Florida, October is the month with the most hurricane direct hits (some of which are listed below)


1737 Calcutta cyclone - October 7, Other reports from merchant ships indicated an earthquake and tidal surge were to blame, destroying 20,000 ships in the harbor and killing 300,000 people. It should be noted that the population of Calcutta at the time was around 3,000-20,000. This apparent incongruity in the data suggests a possible mix-up with the numbers for the 1839 Coringa cyclone mentioned in this article, which also suggest 20,000 sunk ships and 300,000 fatalities. Both of these figures may stem from the 300,000 figure in the 1737 super cyclone in the West Bengal region as neither one has similar numbers according to the National Cyclone Risk Mitigation Project's site

1847 - Bengal India cyclone of October -

1874 Bengal India cyclone - This severe cyclone killed 80,000 people and caused significant damage

1876 Backergunge or perhaps Backeranj India cyclone - On October 31, the cyclone made landfall on Backerganj now Bangladesh. Similarities, may suggest to be the same cyclone as next listed.

1876 Bangladesh cyclone - killing about 200,000 people, half of whom were drowned by the storm surge, and the remainder died in the resultant famine. The maximum wind was estimated at 220 km/h (119 knots) and the surge height was 3–13.6 m (10–45 ft).

1881 Haiphong Typhoon - Vietnam The 1881 Haiphong Typhoon was a typhoon that struck Haiphong, in what is now Vietnam, on 8 October 1881 and the northern part of the Philippines. Up to 300,000 people were killed by the typhoon, which was one of the deadliest cyclonic storms in history.

1887 Yellow River China flood - Death toll est. 900,000–2,000,000

1942 Bengal India cyclone - On October 16, a cyclone hit near the India/Bangladesh border, resulting in around 40,000 fatalities. A wind gust of 225 km/h (140 mph) was recorded.

1949 - A Northeast Pacific Tropical Storm (September-October) became an Atlantic Hurricane (Storm #10) and made landfall in TX.

1954 - Hurricane Hazel, the fourth major hurricane of 1954, hammers southern Ontario, Canada, on this day in 1954. Hazel hit hard from Jamaica to Canada, killing more than 400 people and causing over $1 billion in damages.

1961 - Atlantic Hurricane Hattie (October-November) became Northeast Pacific Tropical Storm Simone. Hurricane Hattie strikes Belize on this day, killing more than 400 people and leaving thousands homeless. Almost half of Belize City was demolished by the storm. It was a Category 4 hurricane with sustained winds of 140 miles per hour and gusts reaching 180 mph.

1967 Odisha cyclone - On October 12, an intense cyclone struck the state of Odisha and left complete devastation along its path

1971 Arabian ocean cyclone - A tropical cyclone Category 1 moved through the Arabian Sea near the end of October 27-31. Peak intensity 120 km/h (75 mph)

1971 Odisha cyclone - On October 27 a tropical depression formed in the Bay of Bengal. It tracked northward, steadily strengthening until reaching a peak of 115 mph winds. The cyclone struck Cuttack, a city in Odisha, India, on October 29, and dissipated 2 days later. The storm surge and flooding from the system caused 10,800 fatalities packing winds 185 km/h (115 mph)

1973 Bay of Bengal India cyclone - Duration October 6-12, Peak intensity 85 km/h (50 mph)

1976 Mid-October Arabian sea cyclone - Duration October 12-19, Peak intensity 95 km/h (60 mph)


1976 Mid-October Bay of Bengal cyclone - Duration October 14-19 Peak intensity 85 km/h (50 mph)

It is said that 2017 hurricane season is about to break 124-year-old record. Last year, Hurricane Nate made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane in the northern Gulf Coast, first in southeastern Louisiana on Oct. 7 and then near Biloxi, Mississippi, on Oct. 8. Nate produced a storm surge of 6.3 feet at Pascagoula, Mississippi, and a wind gust of 75 mph was recorded at Calvert, Alabama. Nate also produced tornadoes from Alabama to North Carolina. Before the South Carolina landfall, Matthew paralleled the coasts of Florida and Georgia, bringing wind gusts as high as 107 mph to Cape Canaveral, Florida, and a peak storm surge of 9.88 feet above normal at a National Ocean Service tide gauge at Fernandina Beach, Florida.
Although it has been a while since the last October hurricane landfall in Florida, it's the state most likely to see a landfalling hurricane in October, with the southern part of the state at the highest risk. Before last year's pummeling by Category 4 Hurricane Irma, the last hurricane to make landfall in Florida was Hurricane Wilma on Oct. 24, 2005. Many Floridians consider October to be the peak of the hurricane season due to the increased number of hurricane strikes then, even though the peak of the hurricane season for the entire basin occurs in September. From 1851 to 2017, 32 hurricanes made a Florida landfall in October, dwarfing the state with the second-highest number of October landfalls: Louisiana, with 10. There have been 17 major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) that have made direct hits on the U.S. mainland in the month of October since 1851. Ten of those occurred in Florida. It becomes more difficult for hurricanes to make landfall farther north in October as the upper-level wind pattern changes and the jet stream slides farther south, but Superstorm Sandy in 2012 broke many meteorological rules of thumb.

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2018-09-27-october-hurricane-tracks-united-states-florida-threat
The map above shows the 15 hurricanes that have made landfall in October since 1950, not including Sandy since it did not make landfall as a hurricane. Eight of those occurred in Florida, and you can see the cluster of lines in South Florida.

2005 - Strongest October hurricane: Wilma, 175 mph, 882 mbar. Wilma became the most intense hurricane in the Atlantic Basin ever recorded.

Why Florida?
Even though the climatological peak of the hurricane season – Sept. 10 – has passed, residents along the Gulf and East coasts need to remain prepared for a hurricane. Roughly one-fifth of all U.S. hurricane landfalls have occurred in October and November. On average, one hurricane forms every year in October, according to the National Hurricane Center. The most hurricanes to form in October was five in 2010.

Why October?
By October, we typically see the formation zones of tropical storms and hurricanes shift westward toward the western Caribbean Sea, eastern Gulf of Mexico and far western Atlantic Ocean as the "Cabo Verde" portion of the hurricane season, featuring development of African easterly waves in the eastern Atlantic Ocean, fades. In South Florida, October is the month with the most hurricane direct hits. According to NOAA's Best Track Database, 23 October hurricanes have passed within 100 nautical miles of downtown Miami since 1851. With roughly one-third of an average Atlantic hurricane season left, a number of tropical storms or hurricanes may still form before season's end. Stay aware of what's brewing in the tropics on weather.com, and make sure your hurricane plan is ready in case a fall hurricane threatens.

2012 October 28, - Super typhoon "Frankenstorm" Sandy, biggest storm in history hits New York. It is called by some to be a once in a life time storm. Deemed to be the worst storm in decades to strike the densely populated US East Coast, floods New York's subway, leaves millions without power, kills at least 182 people and causes US$65 billion in damages.

2016 - Hurricane Matthew made one official U.S. landfall Oct. 8 southeast of McClellanville, South Carolina, as a Category 1 hurricane with 75-mph winds.

2017 October - so far in the first 8 days of October -

October 3-5 - TS Ramone - Southern Mexico
Hurricane Harvey Category 5
Hurricane Irma category 5
Hurricane Jose category 1
Hurricane Lee category 3
Hurricane Maria category 5
Hurricane Nate category 1
Hurricane Ophelia category TS

2018 - On October 10, Hurricane Michael was the third-most intense Atlantic hurricane to make landfall in the United States in terms of pressure, behind the 1935 Labor Day hurricane and Hurricane Camille of 1969. It was also the strongest in terms of maximum sustained wind speed to strike the contiguous United States since Andrew in 1992. In addition, it was the strongest on record in the Florida Panhandle, and was the fourth-strongest landfalling hurricane in the contiguous United States, in terms of wind speed. The thirteenth named storm, seventh hurricane, and second major hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season, Michael originated from a broad low-pressure area that formed in the southwestern Caribbean Sea on October 2. The disturbance became a tropical depression on October 7, after nearly a week of slow development. By the next day, Michael had intensified into a hurricane near the western tip of Cuba as it moved northward. The hurricane strengthened rapidly in the Gulf of Mexico, reaching major hurricane status on October 9, peaking at a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir–Simpson scale. Approaching the Florida Panhandle, Michael attained peak winds of 155 mph (250 km/h) as it made landfall near Mexico Beach, Florida, on October 10, becoming the first to do so in the region as a Category 4 hurricane, and making landfall as the strongest storm of the season. As it moved inland, the storm weakened and began to take a northeastward trajectory toward Chesapeake Bay, weakening to a tropical storm over Georgia, and transitioning into an extratropical cyclone off the coast of the Mid-Atlantic states on October 12. Michael subsequently strengthened into a powerful extratropical cyclone and eventually impacted the Iberian Peninsula, before dissipating on October 16.

By October 18, at least 48 deaths had been attributed to the storm, including 33 in the United States and 15 in Central America. Insurance losses due to Michael in the United States were ranged from $8–11 billion (2018 USD).[1] As a tropical depression, the storm caused extensive flooding in Central America in concert with a second disturbance over the eastern Pacific Ocean. In Cuba, the hurricane's winds left over 200,000 people without power as the storm passed to the island's west. Along the Florida panhandle, the cities of Mexico Beach and Panama City suffered the worst of Michael, with catastrophic damage reported due to the extreme winds and storm surge. Numerous homes were flattened and trees felled over a wide swath of the panhandle. A maximum wind gust of 129 mph (208 km/h) was measured at Tyndall Air Force Base near the point of landfall. As Michael tracked across the Southeastern United States, strong winds caused extensive power outages across the region.













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